Game against Figueirense started "title campaign" palm trees in 1st round





In the Brazilian Championship of turn 1, Palmeiras had a bad result against Cruzeiro, but reacted well after: won 14 points in the next eight games, including an impressive rout against Figueirense. On Sunday (16), Palmeiras need to repeat all this to be Brazilian champion in 2016. And everything will start the match against Santa Catarina team at 17h (GMT), in Florianópolis.
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The explanation is mathematical: today Palmeiras has 61 points, and if those get 14 points again, will reach 75. It is precisely this score that the club has named as aim for the title, based on previous championships and performances of opponents this year .

"Flamengo in 2009, was the champion with fewer points, I think 67. It had champion teams with 81, but I think this year should come out the champion with 72-74," Cuca said in August. After he repeated this forecast in other interviews.

According to the Department of Mathematics of the Federal University of Minas Gerais, a team that reaches 75 points has 85% chance to be the champion. The mathematical Tristan Garcia says pretty much the same as it points out that the ideal to be champion is 76 points.

However, as this edition of the Championship has been more balanced than most, it is normal that the champion has a lower score than average. The 1st round has already indicated that, for Palmeiras was the champion of this phase with the lowest score since 2006, 36.

But for all these bills make sense we need to Palmeiras focus on the match against Figueirense and repeat that performance that generated a thrashing 4-0 at Allianz Park. In that game, Moses and Róger Guedes played very well, and Gabriel Jesus scored twice. He called attention to speed palmeirense attack on the slow defense Figueirense.

I can not wait for the match this time is equal. The teams have changed a lot, especially Figueirense, who left to coach - was Vinicius Eutropius and is now Marquinhos Santos. Regarding the team that game, Palmeiras lost Fernando Prass injury, but won the support of Yerry Mine. Also changed the location of the match, this time will be in Orlando Scarpelli Stadium, but this is not so much problem for Palmeiras, which is the league's top visitor so far.

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